david senak now. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. All rights reserved. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. By May 21, 2021 0 . The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. June 2, 2016. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. police- settlements. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. 2,. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. Join. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. So, the usual. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Today those numbers have flipped. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . 04:58 PM. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. This is the second episode. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. ( Businessweek) With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. NEW TOWN . The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. Dive in and Share your insights! Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. Saturday, February 25, 2023. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. 266, the . Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. r/fivethirtyeight. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. RSS Loading. Happy holidays! The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. heritage commons university of utah. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. A message from Martine. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Preview of Spotify. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. You can't imitate a worldview. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.".